Jeremy Hogan, a distinguished legal professional within the XRP group, not too long ago engaged in an alternate on X (previously Twitter) concerning the ongoing SEC vs. Ripple case, providing insights into the potential monetary repercussions for the fintech firm. This dialogue got here in response to fellow pro-XRP legal professional John E. Deaton’s remark: “The individuals who’ve argued that the SEC obtained a 50-50 victory within the Ripple case are 100% improper. It was extra like 90-10 in Ripple’s favor. If Ripple finally ends up paying $20M or much less it’s a 99.9% authorized victory.”
Using his attribute humor, Hogan likened his authorized musings to resolving a marital disagreement, saying, “I used to be in a small argument with my spouse final night time, which implies, I’m fascinated about ‘damages’ this morning.” He then shifted to debate the authorized facets surrounding Ripple, noting, “The regulation permits the SEC to hunt ‘disgorgement,’ penalties, and curiosity.” He clarified that disgorgement includes eradicating income from rule violators like Ripple, and the courtroom recognized about $770 million in inappropriate XRP gross sales to institutional buyers.
Right here’s How Ripple Can Slash The SEC Fantastic
Hogan delved into a number of key arguments that might play in Ripple’s favor. Referring to the SEC v. Liu case, he identified, “Disgorgement is an equitable treatment which signifies that it ought to be ‘honest.’ And honest on this context signifies that it ought to be the violators NET income, not GROSS.” This suggests Ripple would possibly scale back its liabilities considerably by deducting enterprise bills from the entire gross sales.
He expanded on the definition of “victims” throughout the context of disgorgement, asserting, “As was not too long ago upheld within the 2nd DCA, the quantity of disgorgement should be ‘awarded for victims.’ ‘Victims’ means people/entities who misplaced cash on an funding.” Hogan famous the peculiarity of the state of affairs the place XRP’s worth rose in the course of the litigation, which he prompt would possibly indicate that XRP isn’t a safety.
One other key level Hogan mentioned was the jurisdictional attain of the SEC, the place he identified, “the SEC has to show some nexus between the purchaser of XRP and the US.” Due to this fact, gross sales to overseas entities with out US connections might probably be exempt from the SEC’s claims. “In different phrases, if Ripple offered XRP to a German funding firm with no ties to the U.S., the SEC has no jurisdiction over that sale. The “nexus” query will likely be fascinating,” Hogan remarked.
Addressing the SEC’s perspective, Hogan conveyed, “The SEC will depend on case regulation which says that it doesn’t must show the disgorgement damages with specificity. The SEC can present the Courtroom a ballpark estimate after which the burden shifts to the Defendant to indicate in any other case.”
He additionally famous that the SEC would possibly problem the inclusion of sure bills in Ripple’s revenue calculations, significantly these associated to authorized violations. “These are the problems that the events will likely be litigating in 2024,” Hogan argued.
Concluding his evaluation, he estimated a considerably decrease penalty for Ripple, stating, “In conclusion, $770 million is NOT going to be $770 million, however one thing a lot much less.” Addressing a group member’s question concerning the anticipated settlement determine, Hogan speculated, “There’s a whole lot of litigation and information nonetheless to come back out but when a few of the numbers I’ve heard about are confirmed true – below $100 million.”
At press time, XRP traded at $0.6703.

Featured picture from CryptoLaw / YouTube, chart from TradingView.com