Sunday, July 27, 2025
  • Login
SB Crypto Guru News- latest crypto news, NFTs, DEFI, Web3, Metaverse
No Result
View All Result
  • HOME
  • BITCOIN
  • CRYPTO UPDATES
    • GENERAL
    • ALTCOINS
    • ETHEREUM
    • CRYPTO EXCHANGES
    • CRYPTO MINING
  • BLOCKCHAIN
  • NFT
  • DEFI
  • WEB3
  • METAVERSE
  • REGULATIONS
  • SCAM ALERT
  • ANALYSIS
CRYPTO MARKETCAP
  • HOME
  • BITCOIN
  • CRYPTO UPDATES
    • GENERAL
    • ALTCOINS
    • ETHEREUM
    • CRYPTO EXCHANGES
    • CRYPTO MINING
  • BLOCKCHAIN
  • NFT
  • DEFI
  • WEB3
  • METAVERSE
  • REGULATIONS
  • SCAM ALERT
  • ANALYSIS
No Result
View All Result
SB Crypto Guru News- latest crypto news, NFTs, DEFI, Web3, Metaverse
No Result
View All Result

How Bitcoin Will React After The U.S. Election

by SB Crypto Guru News
September 20, 2024
in Bitcoin
Reading Time: 3 mins read
0 0
A A
0


As the U.S. presidential election approaches, it’s worth examining how past elections have influenced Bitcoin’s price. Historically, the U.S. stock market has shown notable trends around election periods. Given Bitcoin’s correlation with equities and, most notably, the S&P 500, these trends could offer insights into what might happen next.

S&P 500 Correlation

Bitcoin and the S&P 500 have historically held a strong correlation, particularly during BTC’s bull cycles and periods of a risk-on sentiment throughout traditional markets. This could phenomenon could potentially come to an end as Bitcoin matures and ‘decouples’ from equities and it’s narrative as a speculative asset. However there’s no evidence yet that this is the case.

How Bitcoin Will React After The U.S. Election

Figure 1: Bitcoin & The S&P 500 180-day correlation over the past five years. View Live Chart 🔍

Post Election Outperformance

The S&P 500 has typically reacted positively following U.S. presidential elections. This pattern has been consistent over the past few decades, with the stock market often experiencing significant gains in the year following an election. In the S&P500 vs Bitcoin YoY Change chart we can see when elections occur (orange circles), and the price action of BTC (black line) and the S&P 500 (blue line) in the months that follow.

Figure 2: Bitcoin & The S&P 500 outsized returns in the year post-election. View Live Chart 🔍

2012 Election: In November 2012, the S&P 500 saw 11% year-on-year growth. A year later, this growth surged to around 32%, reflecting a strong post-election market rally.

2016 Election: In November 2016, the S&P 500 was up by about 7% year-on-year. A year later, it had increased by approximately 22%, again showing a substantial post-election boost.

2020 Election: The pattern continued in 2020. The S&P 500’s growth was around 17-18% in November 2020; by the following year, it had climbed to nearly 29%.

A Recent Phenomenon?

This isn’t limited to the previous three elections while Bitcoin existed. To get a larger data set, we can look at the previous four decades, or ten elections, of S&P 500 returns. Only one year had negative returns twelve months following election day (2000, as the dot-com bubble burst).

Figure 3: The S&P 500 has performed well following election day a majority of the time.

Historical data suggests that whether Republican or Democrat, the winning party doesn’t significantly impact these positive market trends. Instead, the upward momentum is more about resolving uncertainty and boosting investor confidence.

How Will Bitcoin React This Time

As we approach the 2024 U.S. presidential election, it’s tempting to speculate on Bitcoin’s potential performance. If historical trends hold, we could see significant price increases. For example:

If we experience the same percentage gains in the 365 days following the election as we did in 2012, Bitcoin’s price could rise to $1,000,000 or more. If we experience the same as the 2016 election, we could climb to around $500,000, and something similar to 2020 could see a $250,000 BTC.

It’s interesting to note that each occurrence has resulted in returns decreasing by about 50% each time, so maybe $125,000 is a realistic target for November 2025, especially as that price and data align with the middle bands of the Rainbow Price Chart. It’s also worth noting that in all of those cycles, Bitcoin actually went on to experience even higher cycle peak gains!

Figure 4: Rainbow Price Chart aligning with post-election price target based on historical pattern. View Live Chart 🔍

Conclusion

The data suggests that the period after a U.S. presidential election is generally bullish for both the stock market and Bitcoin. With less than two months until the next election, Bitcoin investors may have reason to be optimistic about the months ahead.

For a more in-depth look into this topic, check out a recent YouTube video here: Will The U.S. Election Be Bullish For Bitcoin?



Source link

Tags: BitcoinBitcoin NewsCrypto NewsCrypto UpdateselectionLatest News on CryptoReactSB Crypto Guru NewsU.S
Previous Post

Prediction Markets Go to Washington(‘s Appeals Court)

Next Post

Hacker Commandeers X Account of Virtual Reality Crypto Project Decentraland, Promotes Fake Airdrop

Related Posts

Bitcoin Bulls Gain Traction From Ideal Long Zone: 2 Scenarios For The Week Ahead

Bitcoin Bulls Gain Traction From Ideal Long Zone: 2 Scenarios For The Week Ahead

by SB Crypto Guru News
July 27, 2025
0

The Bitcoin market recorded a minor 0.67% price gain in the last 24 hours, amid a brief return to the...

Bitgo Lands in Brazil, Targeting Banks Entering the Crypto Business

Bitgo Lands in Brazil, Targeting Banks Entering the Crypto Business

by SB Crypto Guru News
July 27, 2025
0

Bitgo, a U.S.-based cryptocurrency custody provider, recently announced the establishment of a local office in Brazil, where it will aim...

Vietnam Unveils Blockchain Backbone for National Data Security

Vietnam Unveils Blockchain Backbone for National Data Security

by SB Crypto Guru News
July 27, 2025
0

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Vietnam has taken a big step toward...

Ark’s Cathie Wood Breaks Down Why Ethereum Unstaking Just Exploded in Volume

Ark’s Cathie Wood Breaks Down Why Ethereum Unstaking Just Exploded in Volume

by SB Crypto Guru News
July 27, 2025
0

Ethereum’s massive unstaking wave is unleashing a bold institutional pivot, with Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood highlighting the shift toward...

Bitcoin Price Could Still Tumble Down To 9,000 — This Chart Pattern Suggests So

Bitcoin Price Could Still Tumble Down To $109,000 — This Chart Pattern Suggests So

by SB Crypto Guru News
July 27, 2025
0

Opeyemi is a proficient writer and enthusiast in the exciting and unique cryptocurrency realm. While the digital asset industry was...

Load More
Next Post
Hacker Commandeers X Account of Virtual Reality Crypto Project Decentraland, Promotes Fake Airdrop

Hacker Commandeers X Account of Virtual Reality Crypto Project Decentraland, Promotes Fake Airdrop

4 Content Secrets That Any Business Can Apply

4 Content Secrets That Any Business Can Apply

Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Tumblr RSS

CATEGORIES

  • Altcoin
  • Analysis
  • Bitcoin
  • Blockchain
  • Crypto Exchanges
  • Crypto Updates
  • DeFi
  • Ethereum
  • Metaverse
  • Mining
  • NFT
  • Regulations
  • Scam Alert
  • Uncategorized
  • Web3

SITE MAP

  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy Policy
  • DMCA
  • Cookie Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
  • Contact us

Copyright © 2022 - SB Crypto Guru News.
SB Crypto Guru News is not responsible for the content of external sites.

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password?

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In
No Result
View All Result
  • HOME
  • BITCOIN
  • CRYPTO UPDATES
    • GENERAL
    • ALTCOINS
    • ETHEREUM
    • CRYPTO EXCHANGES
    • CRYPTO MINING
  • BLOCKCHAIN
  • NFT
  • DEFI
  • WEB3
  • METAVERSE
  • REGULATIONS
  • SCAM ALERT
  • ANALYSIS

Copyright © 2022 - SB Crypto Guru News.
SB Crypto Guru News is not responsible for the content of external sites.