As we step deeper into 2025, the Bitcoin market finds itself at a unique intersection of historical trends and unprecedented political and economic developments. February has always been a month worth watching, particularly in post-halving years, and 2025 is no different. With Bitcoin’s cyclical nature aligning perfectly with its fourth post-halving cycle and the incoming U.S. president, the first to openly support and accept Bitcoin, taking office on Monday, January 20th, this February has all the ingredients to be monumental.
Let’s break down the data, the context, and the factors driving what could be one of the most significant Februaries in Bitcoin’s history.
Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle is the engine that drives its supply dynamics and long-term price growth. The last halving in April 2024 reduced the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, cutting Bitcoin’s new issuance rate in half. Less than ten months later, the effects of this supply shock are poised to compound with February’s historically strong performance.
