Bitcoin is waking up after weeks of consolidation and is now testing critical resistance levels, showing signs of renewed strength just as equities continue to tumble. Global tensions, driven by fears of an escalating trade war between the U.S. and China, are reshaping the financial landscape. Amid this volatility, Bitcoin appears to be changing its behavior, rising even as the US stock market weakens. This divergence has caught the attention of analysts and investors alike.
Bulls are growing increasingly optimistic, expecting a strong surge as selling pressure begins to fade and the market adjusts to the new macroeconomic environment. One of the most promising signals comes from crypto analyst Axel Adler, who shared that new investors have begun entering the market. According to Adler, the metric tracking this trend over the past 10 days has flashed a Buy signal.
If history is any indication, this could be a major inflection point for Bitcoin. All eyes are now on BTC to see whether this early momentum can turn into a full recovery.
Bitcoin Reclaims $88K As New Investors Enter
Bitcoin is once again in the spotlight after reclaiming the $88,000 level earlier today, breaking above short-term highs and signaling renewed interest from bulls. While this move injects optimism into a market battered by uncertainty, it still falls short of confirming a full bullish reversal. To do that, BTC needs to reclaim higher resistance levels and prove its strength above $90,000. Until then, the battle between bulls and bears remains very much alive.
The backdrop to this surge is a complex one. Global financial markets continue to wobble as trade tensions between the US and China intensify. With tariffs rising and diplomatic rhetoric heating up, investors are searching for safe havens—or, in Bitcoin’s case, speculative hedges that can thrive in periods of macro instability.
Adding to the bullish narrative, Axel Adler shared compelling data showing that new investors have started entering the market. The metric tracking newcomer behavior has flashed a Buy signal for the past 10 days. Similar patterns were seen during key past corrections—after China’s 2021 mining ban and again during the $65K market cooldown—both of which preceded significant recoveries.
Adler also pointed out that amid President Trump’s aggressive calls for rate cuts and rising pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, buying into risk assets like Bitcoin may now appear increasingly rational. As the macroeconomic story continues to evolve, Bitcoin’s performance in the coming days could serve as a bellwether for broader investor sentiment—and perhaps the next chapter in this market cycle.
Price Action Details: Key Levels To Watch
Bitcoin is currently trading just below a critical resistance zone, attempting to set a clean breakout above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $88,400. After reclaiming the $87K level, bulls are now trying to tag $89K in what could become a pivotal move for short-term momentum. A successful push above this level—and especially a reclaim of $90K—would serve as a strong confirmation of a bullish breakout and the start of a broader recovery rally.
However, investor sentiment remains cautious. Macroeconomic uncertainty, driven by global trade tensions and weak performance in traditional markets, continues to weigh on risk assets. Many traders still expect further declines, making this resistance area especially critical for Bitcoin’s direction.
If BTC fails to break through $89K in the coming sessions, a drop back below the 200-day SMA could signal weakness and potentially trigger another leg down. In that case, Bitcoin could retest the $85K or even $82K levels as bulls regroup. For now, the market watches closely—BTC is at a make-or-break level, and the next few days may set the tone for the remainder of the quarter.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
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