Polymarket detailed that “this market will resolve to ‘Sure’ if the Russian Federation detonates a nuclear system in an offensive capability by Dec. 31, 2022, 11:59:59 p.m. ET. In any other case, this market will resolve to ‘No.’” It added that to satisfy the “Sure” standards, the detonation of a nuclear system should be in an offensive capability, should not be a check and should both be claimed by the Russian Federation or extensively accepted to be from the Russian Federation.
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